The Wisdom of the Crowd Would Have Known about NKF

I just read this book called “The Wisdom Of Crowds” and it got me thinking about stuff in Singapore.

I remember when I was in National Service, we were made to go for a talk and asked to donate to NKF via Giro.  Most of us signed up for the programme.  When the scandal about NKF occurred and the truth about what was going on at NKF was revealed, I was disappointed but not surprised.

The reason for my lack of surprise was because I have always harboured the notion that something wasn’t quite right with NKF.  Did I have any proof?  No.  Did I actually have any first hand experience.  Nope.  Then where did the notion come from?

It came from my interaction with other Singaporeans.  In taxis, I would hear taxi drivers complaining about NKF.  At coffeeshops, I would hear the elders discuss about the issue.  I cannot remember when it started, but from the noise around me, there was a signal that NKF wasn’t all it was made out to be.

Did any of the other Singaporeans knew exactly the scope, magnitude and specifics of what was wrong?  I don’t think so.

The reason why I talk about this is because I think if the knowledge of the people in Singapore with an opinion about NKF had been aggregated, we might have seen some clear flags to indicate maybe an investigation would be warranted.  Personally, I do not believe forming a committee in Singapore will help with the issue of accountability because of the way things are in Singapore.  Such a group will probably suffer from the problems of groupthink and in my opinion already start with a clear idea of the answers they want to the questions that need to be asked and answered.

I feel that what is needed in Singapore is a way to aggregate the opinions of all Singaporeans and for our government to actually listen to us and not just hear us.  The problem is sometimes I feel our government does not do that because they carry the idea that people need to be governed and only a select group of people have the ability, knowledge and experience to govern (and govern correctly) and only they know what is best because they are the experts.  There is no recourse for us except elections but because of the nature of politics in Singapore, this is a mechanism that is ineffective.  So while elections are important, it is a tool that can only be effective by the people who use them.  And sadly, I agree with the writer of the article that maybe as a nation we have not valued its importance as much as we maybe should.

Finally, one reason why I believe this issue is important can be taken from engineering.  As a system, I believe Singapore is a stable one.  It will not break so easily.  But the way Singapore’s system is setup, if one component fails, there will most probably be a cascade which will make recovery difficult.  And the ability to recover is what makes a system robust and fault tolerant no matter how large or unpredicted the perturbations to the system are.

Singapore is not setup like that.